Post-Fed Cut Investing: 3 Moves to Make Now
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The Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates for the First Time Since 2020
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates Wednesday for the first time since 2020 as it switched gears from battling high inflation to keeping the labor market healthy.
Large Cut, But Not Unexpected
The half-percentage-point cut was unusually large for the central bank — it tends to move rates up or down by a quarter-percentage point — but not entirely unexpected.
Stock Market Reacts Positively
Stocks initially jumped after the Fed announced its decision as investors cheered the beginning of the end of high interest rates. High rates make it more expensive for banks to borrow money, and a trickle down effect makes taking out loans more challenging for business and consumers, too. That can weigh on a company’s earnings and, by extension, its stock price.
What to Expect for Investors
The Fed also signaled that we can expect more cuts to come later this year and into 2025. So what does this all mean for investors? Here’s what to expect, and three moves you can make to take advantage of the rate cut.
Consider Cyclical and Small-Cap Stocks
The rate cuts could be good news for stock market investors.
“Stock market returns following the first rate cut in a cycle are generally quite good if the economy avoids recession,” says Ross Mayfield, an investment strategist at Baird. Cyclical stocks in particular could get a bump from the rate cuts, he adds. Cyclical sectors are those that are more sensitive to interest rate movements and the state of the wider economy, like finance and real estate.
And while small-cap companies tend to underperform their larger counterparts during periods of rising or high interest rates due to their higher debt levels, they could start to outperform those larger companies as cheaper financing becomes available, says Timothy Chubb, chief investment officer at Girard, a Univest Wealth Division.
Stick with Higher-Quality Bonds
Rebalancing your portfolio should include reviewing your mix of bonds, which are essentially loans you make to an issuer like the government or a company. Bonds could jump in value since investors will want the bonds issued at the higher interest rates from before the Fed cut rates.
But Chubb says to beware of investing in riskier bonds down the credit spectrum — basically, those that come with more risk that an issuer won’t make good on their loan. Those bonds could be in trouble if the economy does slide into a downturn.
His firm favors sticking with higher-quality bonds, which tend to have a lower risk of default. Those bonds usually offer lower interest rates but greater security.
Put Your Cash to Work
Investors have gotten used to being rewarded for keeping their money in high-yield savings accounts and other cash alternatives. But banks tend to quickly follow in the footsteps of the Fed when it comes to setting interest rates on their products.
Investors should expect yields on money market funds and other short-term, fixed income-like products to come down as the Fed continues to cut rates, Mayfield says. Those who have become accustomed to yields of 5% or more on cash in recent years might benefit from reallocating their money if it’s not needed in the near future.
